Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Syllable-based forecast of best performing yc-startups from latest batch

As previously written in predicting startup performance with syllables those with few syllables - typically 1 or 2 - in their name is likely to perform the best. Here is a quick prediction based on the yc startups from the latest batch just published: 1 and 2-syllables (most likely to be high performers according to the few-syllable prediction)
  • MixRank (2), alexa-rank: 43,724
  • Picplum (2), alexa-rank: 700,278
  • Depteye (2), alexa-rank: no data
  • Envolve (2), alexa-rank: 52,418
  • Quartzy (2), alexa-rank: 785,102
  • Snapjoy (2), alexa-rank: 450,142
  • Opez (2), alexa-rank: 719,612
  • Stypi (2), alexa-rank: 531,965
  • ZigFu (2), alexa-rank: 21,914,936
  • Parse (1), alexa-rank: 564,829
  • Verbling (2, alexa-rank: 237,636
  • Vidyard (2), alexa-rank: 508,951
  • Tagstand (2), alexa-rank: 812,669
  • Kicksend (2, alexa-rank: 326,583
  • Can'tWait(2), alexa-rank: 786,213
I am sure the rest of the yc batch startups are just fine, but not according to syllable-based prediction, the ones I have in mind are:
  • Aisle50 (3), alexa-rank: 1,106,951
  • Launchpad Toys (3), alexa-rank: 1,425,628
  • Interviewstreet (3), alexa-rank: 135,296
  • DoubleRecall (4), alexa-rank: 799,538
  • Munch on Me (3), alexa-rank: 130,234
  • PageLever (3), alexa-rank: 55,462
  • MarketBrief (3), alexa-rank: 467,943
  • MobileWorks (3), alexa-rank: 315,150
  • Vimessa (3), alexa-rank: 314,150
  • Codeacademy (3), alexa-rank: 61,582
How did it go with the last prediction round?
Unfortunately I only added the ones I though would be best performing according to syllable-count (and not the rest for comparison) for the yc summer 2010 batch, but here is how the low syllable count  did:
  • AdGrok (acquired by Twitter)
  • Brushes (winner Apple design award 2010)
  • FanVibe (acquired by beRecruited)
  • Gantto (customers: Fujitsu, Lucasfilm++,  investor:500startups)
  • GazeHawk (investor: 500startups)
  • HipMunk (most successful startup from that yc batch?)
  • OhLife (not sure how they have done)
  • TeeVox (not sure how they have done)
Whether this beats throwing darts (random selection) is yet to be tested.
Disclaimer: If I've counted number of syllables wrong for some of the startups (have never heard pronounciation of the startup names) please ping me.